Should i sell bg shares

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Hundreds of Chinese companies are listed on U. Assuming the deal goes through, Royal Dutch Shell's weight in the market indices will be significantly increased. Around 1. The cash flows RDSB will generate and the dividends it will pay are utterly unaffected by such considerations and here perhaps lies the opportunity.

RDSB has initially fallen on the news of the deal. That means, all else being equal, the yield on Shell shares has risen. BG Group brings longer-term growth in cash flow to Shell, due to those synergies and its rising volumes in Brazil and Australia. So long as energy prices suffer no further collapse, Shell's capacity to pay future dividends should be enhanced. At a time when UK gilts offer yields as little as 1.

Nothing is risk-free in the stock market and for Shell, the biggest risk looks to be the oil price. A further sharp fall could compromise the company's dividend paying capacity, but oil prices have already more than halved. And there are more people on the planet today, demanding energy, than there were yesterday and tomorrow will see another turn of the ratchet.

That leaves us relaxed about longer-term energy prices, even if the short-term is unpredictable. We think the combination of BG and Royal Dutch Shell will create a stronger company with better growth prospects than Shell alone would have had.

BG shareholders could expect to see a significant income pick-up because Shell pays out a higher proportion of its earnings than BG ever did. Barring unforeseen developments, this looks to me like a win-win for both sets of shareholders, which is of course what a friendly merger is meant to achieve.

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